RISK ASSESSMENT nd decision analysis with bayesian networks - FENTON NARMAN NEIL (BOCA RATON LONDON NEW YORK CRC PRESS)
Keywords: DEBUNKING BAD STATISTICS. NEED FOR CASUAL , EXPLANATORY MODELS IN RISK ASSESSMENT.MEASURING UNCERTAINTY THE INEVITABILITY OF SUBJECTIVITY . .THE BASIC OF PROBABILITY. BAYES THEOREM AND CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY . BAYES THEOREM TO BAYESIAN NETWORK . NUMERIC VARIABLES AND CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS . HYPOTHESIS TESTING AND CONFIDENCE INTERVALS.. MODELING OPERATIONAL RISK. SYSTEMS RELIABILITY MODELING . THE ROLE OF BAYES IN FORENSIC AND LEGAL EVIDENCE PRESENTATION